Matthew Gray's Blog: Simple election Monte Carlo toy

Sunday, November 2, 2008

Simple election Monte Carlo toy

I wanted to be able to fiddle with my own model of the electoral college. At the moment, despite the general media's efforts, the race isn't that close, but I wanted a modeling framework in which I could interpret "dramatic" changes that might occur.

So, I made a Personalized Election Modeler which lets you specify the chances you think Obama will win each state, and runs the simulation for you.

2 comments:

Unknown02 November, 2008 17:26
Have you seen http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/ ?
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mkgray02 November, 2008 17:32
Yes, and I link to it in the explanatory text at the top of the modeler.
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You have reached the blog of
Matthew Gray
matthew@gray.org
I am a father, board gamer and software engineer.

Internet

I am on Twitter and I used to be active on Google+. In addition to my blog, you can find me on BoardGameGeek, LinkedIn, and various other places. I also have a stale homepage.

Personal

I am an avid board gamer, role-playing gamer, and prolific photographer.

Professional

I am a Engineering Director at Google. My team and I work on Search.

Previously, I was the CTO at an 802.11 location and security company, Newbury Networks in Boston. In June, 1999 I received my Masters degree from the MIT Media Lab. I graduated from MIT (undergraduate) in June, 1997, in physics. Prior to that I was CTO of net.Genesis from 1994 to 1996.

While at MIT, I was one of the three members of the Student Information Processing Board (SIPB) who set up www.mit.edu in the spring of 1993. I am also a former/inactive member of the Apache group, a volunteer group of developers of Apache, the world's most popular web server.